Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualDoes Not Ascend from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Loses 49.5%-1.9ptLíder entre 8 opções
Previsores
39
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-2.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado14/02/25, 22:18 UTC22/01/29, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
0.1%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill JD Vance win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
KalshiRegras
This market is a combinatorial market on several outcomes related to JD Vance's potential to become president in or before 2029.
- It asks 3 questions:
- Will Vance become president during the term to which he was elected as vice president in 2024?
- Resolves according to this market.
- @/zsig/will-jd-vance-take-over-the-preside
- Will he be nominated?
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 691,8 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,1 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,6 mi
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de JD Vance Path to the Presidency 2028?
- A Manifold Markets cota Does Not Ascend from VP term // Is Not Nominated // Loses em 50% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando JD Vance Path to the Presidency 2028 é resolvido?
- JD Vance Path to the Presidency 2028 deverá ser resolvido em 22 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como JD Vance Path to the Presidency 2028 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market is a combinatorial market on several outcomes related to JD Vance's potential to become president in or before 2029.