Manifold MarketsSem KYCPrevisão da comunidade atualMarch 13 0%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
28
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 dias
Desatualizado10/03/26, 1:011/01/27, 0:58
Tendências
0%
0%
Resultado escolhido
June 308%
Também disponível em Polymarket
Iran leadership change by...?
0.2%6m
+1.0%30%
+0.2%5%
0%
+3 mais resultados
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total15 M €
Volume 24h52,5 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.