Previsão da comunidade atual
Pete Buttigieg 59.3%Líder entre 24 opções
Previsores
32
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado20/11/24, 00:30 UTC19/02/29, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsPete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag]
Manifold MarketsLA-01 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-03 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRegras
Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.
- Then this market will convert to "Will NOMINEE win the 2028 presidential election?"
- I reserve the right to remove or modify duplicates or joke answers.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/predyx_markets/which-wing-will-win-the-us-presiden?play=true)
Mercados abertos
base
POLYMARKETWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
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- 70+100%
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MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
- No94.4%
- Yes5.6%
- Volume total
- € 80 mil
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?
- 5–7 wins40.2%
- 8-9 wins30.2%
- 10-11 wins13.2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 97,1
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy]
- If I accept the Penguin job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?79.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?74.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?63.9%
+3 mais resultados
- When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?
- What is the base of the next nice number?
- What countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
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- If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
- Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency??
- A Manifold Markets cota Pete Buttigieg em 59% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency? é resolvido?
- If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency? deverá ser resolvido em 19 de fevereiro de 2029.
- Como If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.