If Manifold gets negative news coverage, will a large number of new users join?
One-OffTecnologiaBusiness & Corporate4m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 82.4%
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34
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado20/01/23, 06:40 UTC20/01/27, 23:59 UTC
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"Gets negative news coverage" means at least one major news outlet writes an article whose coverage of Manifold is primarily negative.
- Manifold does not have to be the main topic of the article, but it should be a large part of the article.
- (For example: "prediction markets are terrible, here are three examples" counts; "Ammon Lam, also known for participating on the controversial Manifold Markets website, today rescued three puppies from a burning building" does not.)
- "A large number of new users" means I look at the "daily active users 7 day average" data here
- https://manifold.markets/stats
- and I see an obvious large increase right after the news broke.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If Manifold gets negative news coverage, will a large number of new users join??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If Manifold gets negative news coverage, will a large number of new users join? é resolvido?
- If Manifold gets negative news coverage, will a large number of new users join? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como If Manifold gets negative news coverage, will a large number of new users join? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: "Gets negative news coverage" means at least one major news outlet writes an article whose coverage of Manifold is primarily negative.