Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 56%
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado10/02/26, 01:46 UTC31/12/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee, and will he win?
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KalshiNH-02 Democratic nominee?
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KalshiRegras
Resolves N/A if anyone else is nominated by the DNC.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 697,7 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 56% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election? é resolvido?
- If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como If Gavin Newsome is the Democratic nominee for 2028 will he win the election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves N/A if anyone else is nominated by the DNC.