If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 65.7%
Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 horas
Desatualizado24/08/25, 18:33 UTC31/08/28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, conditional on Zohran Mamdani being elected New York City mayor in November 2025 and taking office on January 1, 2026, the latest publicly released poll with fieldwork ending between August 1–31, 2028 measuring “job approval” of Mayor Zohran Mamdani among NYC adults, registered voters, or likely voters shows Approve > Disapprove (net approval > 0).
- Ties (Approve = Disapprove) resolve NO.
- Favorability-only polls do not count.
- Examples of qualifying pollsters include Quinnipiac University Poll and Marist Poll; results will be verified from their official releases.
- (poll.qu.edu, maristpoll.marist.edu)