If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 65.7%
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Tipo de pergunta
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado24/08/25, 18:33 UTC31/08/28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, conditional on Zohran Mamdani being elected New York City mayor in November 2025 and taking office on January 1, 2026, the latest publicly released poll with fieldwork ending between August 1–31, 2028 measuring “job approval” of Mayor Zohran Mamdani among NYC adults, registered voters, or likely voters shows Approve > Disapprove (net approval > 0).
- Ties (Approve = Disapprove) resolve NO.
- Favorability-only polls do not count.
- Examples of qualifying pollsters include Quinnipiac University Poll and Marist Poll; results will be verified from their official releases.
- (poll.qu.edu, maristpoll.marist.edu)
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 66% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028? é resolvido?
- If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de agosto de 2028.
- Como If elected, will Zohran Mamdani maintain a net positive approval rating by August 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria