Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90.7%
Previsores
126
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado21/08/24, 06:37 UTC1/01/29, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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FutuurRegras
(@JoelBecker and I put a handshake bet on this at 2%, my $10 to his $490)
- Update 2025-03-09: Dropping the conditional "If Elected" from the title, as Trump won election.
- Update 2025-03-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:
- The market will resolve after Trump's current term ends
- The market will resolve if a pardon occurs
- Resolution happens at the earliest of the above events
