If a Democrat wins the presidency in 2028, will the Supreme Court have more than nine justices before Jan 20, 2033?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição6a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 76.8%
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado7/10/26, 02:52 UTC20/01/33, 17:00 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Condition: the Democratic Party's 2028 presidential nominee wins the 2028 presidential election, as determined by Congress's count of electoral votes in January 2029 (or, if no one has a majority, the House's choice).
- If anyone else wins, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if, at any time before January 20, 2033, more than nine justices are serving on the U.S. Supreme Court at once.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if a Republican wins the presidency in 2028.
- Comparing the two shows what the market thinks the 2028 presidential winner changes.
