Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBenjamin Netanyahu (halikood) 61.6%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+44.9 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado27/10/26, 19:31 UTC3/11/26, 19:26 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- This market is configured as a binary (Yes/No) question, but does not name a specific party, candidate, or threshold (e.g., whether Likud wins the most seats, or whether Benjamin Netanyahu forms the next government).
- By default, this market will resolve according to the candidate or condition explicitly designated by the market creator.
- If left unspecified:
- YES: The incumbent prime minister's party (Likud) wins the plurality of seats in the Knesset elected on October 27, 2026, according to the official results certified by the Central Elections Committee (CEC).
- NO: Any other political party wins a plurality of seats, or there is an exact tie for the largest share of seats.