Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: 14 or more (99%)
Resolvido: 30 de jun. de 2026, 11:21
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
14 or more
A 7 dias
64%
A 24 horas
99%
ConsensoPrevisão da comunidade atual14 or more 99%+1.0ptLíder entre 7 opções
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 26 dias
Desatualizado18/05/26, 16:0430/06/26, 11:21
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
8 or fewer0.6%
90.6%
100.7%
110.9%
122.6%
130.2%
14 or more76.8%
99%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· 14 or more
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h
Também disponível em Kalshi
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Fechados
Resolvido
Above 13 (99%)
99%
99%
99%
+5 mais resultados
38 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoLiquidez média
Volume total2,4 M €
Volume 24h645,3 mil €
KALSHI
Também disponível em Polymarket
How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?
16.4 ptsFechados
Resolvido
14+ (100%)
+9.9pt100%
-2.0pt0%
-1.8pt0%
+2 mais resultados
25 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidez
Volume total48,8 mil €
Volume 24h3,8 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for June 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for June 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.