Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualOver 10 Launches 76.3%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
27
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+1.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado10/06/26, 17:51 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
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KalshiRegras
Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful nor does it need to be intended to be fully orbital)
- Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
- Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
- I may resolve answers NO slightly earlier than year end if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
- UTC is used for determining 2027 start/end