Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 01:30 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atual
>=50 82.2%Líder entre 7 opções
>=50 82.2%Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 47 minutos
Atrasado14/07/24, 19:21 UTC1/01/30, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Kemi Badenoch lead the Conservative party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will become the next permanent leader of the UK Conservative Party after Kemi Badenoch?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?
Manifold MarketsWho will lead the Conservative Party into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?
KalshiB.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner
PolymarketRegras
The Conservatives won 121 seats in the 2024 general election.
- How many will they win in the next one?
- If the Conservative party splits into multiple parties, or some MPs defect to other parties, the party that is considered the "real" Conservative Party will be the one who the largest number of the 121 MPs elected in July 2024 are members of.