Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual101-150 39.3%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
49
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado5/11/25, 0:1031/12/26, 23:59
Tendências
Regras
How many attendee tickets will we sell for Slutcon 2026? (after refunds) Last year we sold ~120-125 or so.
- Next year we plan on keeping ticket prices the same (1k, 3k, and 9k) though with likely fewer earlybird and possibly more latecomer tickets.
- Final number for resolution will not count volunteers, staff, performers, or presenters.
- We'll base it off names counted at checkin.
- We are not including partygoers for After Dark.
- If for some reason SC 2026 doesn't happen, will resolve this market n/a
Mercados abertos
base
POLYMARKETWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
- December 31, 202754.8%
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt39.4%
- December 31, 2026-8.0pt5.8%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 29,8 mil
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $500M+1.0pt59%
- $1B-1.5pt50%
- $2B44%
+7 mais resultados
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)
- 5.4100%
- 5.5100%
- 5.6100%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 158,1
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
- No53%
- Yes47%
- Volume total
- € 523,3
- Volume 24h
- € 15,9
MANIFOLD MARKETSBefore when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned?
- 202798.2%
- 202898%
- 202997.6%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
- No98.1%
- Yes1.9%
- Volume total
- € 35,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- —
- How will the U.S. take Greenland? [Ind MC]
- Will there be a moon base by 2030?
- What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027
- Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
- If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?
- Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
- Where will I live in October 2026?
- What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?
- How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?
- Price of Apple M5 Ultra Studio 512gb on Release in 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How many people will attend Slutcon 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota 101-150 em 39% em 3 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How many people will attend Slutcon 2026? é resolvido?
- How many people will attend Slutcon 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como How many people will attend Slutcon 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: How many attendee tickets will we sell for Slutcon 2026? (after refunds) Last year we sold ~120-125 or so.