Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualOther 46.7%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 50 minutos
Atrasado10/04/24, 06:16 UTC1/01/29, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Lantern Bioworks' Lumina ProBiotic: Does it work and does it have side effects? [Scott Alexander's possibilities]
Manifold MarketsWill Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Lantern Bioworks's cavity-curing bioengineered S. mutans (Lumina) turn out to have horrible downsides by 2029?
Manifold MarketsMale oral contraceptives available in the market by the end of 2026?
FutuurEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
Lasting means 'present in effective amounts on most teeth', not 'present in any amount on any teeth'.
- Ranges are technically (a, b].
- If a proper study is conducted, will resolve based on that.
- Otherwise, the resolver will attempt collect data to resolve the market.
- Resolution will be based on the informed judgement of the resolver about what best fits the intent.
- Resolver is me by default, or the manifold moderation team if my resolution is disputed.
Mercados abertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- € 15,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 18,3 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,2 mil
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- € 916 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,5 mil
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 863,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1 mil
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How long will the Lumina oral probiotic last in your mouth, by median??
- A Manifold Markets cota Other em 47% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How long will the Lumina oral probiotic last in your mouth, by median? é resolvido?
- How long will the Lumina oral probiotic last in your mouth, by median? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como How long will the Lumina oral probiotic last in your mouth, by median? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Lasting means 'present in effective amounts on most teeth', not 'present in any amount on any teeth'.