How interesting are my different ideas for LessWrong posts, and when will I post them?
One-OffIATecnologia6mManifold MarketsSem KYCPrevisão da comunidade atual1a) AI Safety Research Futarchy Follow-up, >50 upvotes 54.4%Líder entre 24 opções
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12
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 10 dias
Desatualizado18/06/26, 14:2431/12/26, 14:03
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Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
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1a) AI Safety Research Futarchy Follow-up, >50 upvotes54%
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I have a few decent (I hope) LessWrong post ideas / rough sketches that I want to get done.
- But will they be any good? Will the be engaging? Will I even get round to doing them? Maybe the people of Manifold can help answer these questions.
- I hope this will be some degree of useful and/or fun.
- ===== Ideas & Metrics =====
- Here's a brief summary of each post idea: 1) AI Safety Research Futarchy Follow-up: A follow-up to this post / experiment, https://manifold.markets/post/ai-safety-research-futarchy-using-p, discussing updates and outcomes, as well as a bit of a post-mortem. 2) Prediction markets for good: I feel like at the moment there's a fair amount of negative discourse / bad-vibes around prediction markets in the broader EA / rat community and some people turning their back on them despite promises of greatness.
- In my opinion we haven't really tried yet, and maybe people should start trying more.