Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 99.2%
Previsores
354
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado4/05/26, 18:43 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNew pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill Hantavirus become a pandemic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiHantavirus vaccine in 2026?
PolymarketNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- Follows the identical Polymarket resolution (https://polymarket.com/event/hantavirus-pandemic-in-2026).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volume total
- € 15,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 20,4 mil
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- € 919 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 4,2 mil
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11.5%53%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 2,6 mil
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k+0.1pt100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000+3.0pt61%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 866,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mil
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volume total
- € 611,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,1 mil
- When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
- Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Pandemia de hantavírus em 2026? [Polymarket]?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 99% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Pandemia de hantavírus em 2026? [Polymarket] é resolvido?
- Pandemia de hantavírus em 2026? [Polymarket] deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Pandemia de hantavírus em 2026? [Polymarket] é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria
- Onde mais Pandemia de hantavírus em 2026? [Polymarket] está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets, Polymarket.