Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual2050 70.7%Líder entre 7 opções
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13
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variação 7d
0.0 pts
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Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado20/03/24, 07:09 UTC31/12/51, 10:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Resolves based on our world in data.
- https://ourworldindata.org/electric-car-sales
- Their figure includes plug in hybrids.
- Was 8% in 2022.
- The idea of this question is the exclude hydrogen or any other competing technologies.
- I may change the data source if our world in data is no longer available (eg in 2050).