Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Flight 14 (93.6%)
Resolvido: 29 de set. de 2026, 02:22
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 29 de set. de 2026, 17:10 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Flight 120.3%
Flight 130.3%
Flight 1493.6%
Flight 153.9%
Other1.8%
Ganhou
Perdeu
Perdeu
Perdeu
Perdeu
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the first Starship V3 flight that meets all of SpaceX's stated primary objectives.
- SpaceX is targeting the first quarter of 2026 for the debut flight of Starship V3, which will be the named outcome.
- Resolution will be based on SpaceX's official post-flight statements and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX_Starship.
- Nits Individual failures (e.g. engine failures, subsystem problems) that don't affect overall flight objectives will not cause a flight to resolve NO.
- For example, if this market was for block 1 flight 4 it would resolve YES even though the landing was off target.
