Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 52.3%
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5
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado9/08/25, 11:41 UTC2/06/30, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Resolves to NO if Doug Ford does not run for Premier or is no longer part of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario.
- The next provincial election has not been called yet, so deadline will be adjusted accordingly.
- Making this question early because friends and I disagree.
- They think the electorate wants change after a a leader has had a long tenure and that Ford won mostly due to fears around Trump.
- I think Ontario genuinely likes Ford and distrusts the other parties.
- Furthermore, I think its unlikely for the other parties to find a charismatic/compelling leader.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Doug Ford and PC Party win next Ontario election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 52% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Doug Ford and PC Party win next Ontario election? é resolvido?
- Doug Ford and PC Party win next Ontario election? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de junho de 2030.
- Como Doug Ford and PC Party win next Ontario election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves to NO if Doug Ford does not run for Premier or is no longer part of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario.