Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 53.5%
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado12/08/26, 16:29 UTC20/01/29, 11:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Trump pardons in 2026
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Manifold MarketsWill Barron Trump and Ivanka Trump be President?
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Manifold MarketsDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiWill Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
KalshiRegras
Resolves the same as Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumppardons/who-will-trump-pardon/kxtrumppardons-29jan21
- If Barron Trump has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from White House and New York Times.
- (Identical market to: source market)
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Donald Trump pardons Barron Trump??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 54% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Donald Trump pardons Barron Trump? é resolvido?
- Donald Trump pardons Barron Trump? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Donald Trump pardons Barron Trump? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves the same as Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumppardons/who-will-trump-pardon/kxtrumppardons-29jan21