Depending on whether Trump wins the election, will Bezos become even richer by 2029?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Trump wins, Bezos becomes richer 87.3%Líder entre 4 opções
Trump wins, Bezos becomes richer 87.3%Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+10.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado29/10/24, 23:49 UTC1/01/29, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
For simplicity, Trump "loses" if he does not win the election and Bezos will be considered "richer" if Forbes estimates his net worth to be higher than $208.4 billion at any point during 2028; otherwise, he will be considered "poorer." This covers all possible outcomes, including unlikely ones.
- If Forbes is not in business anymore by 2028, an alternative credible estimate will be used.
- I will not bet in this market.
