[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?
Negócios e empresasMacro e economia1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual[AAA] At least 1 market resolves to YES. 100%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
34
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado16/11/23, 00:06 UTC18/09/28, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
A Credit Default Swap is a financial derivative that allows investors to hedge or speculate on the credit risk of a particular entity.
- Essentially, a CDS is an insurance policy against the default of a borrower.
- In the context of prediction markets like Manifold, we can draw a parallel by considering the likelihood of certain events (or 'defaults') occurring.
- In this case, this market would assess the likelihood of various other markets resolving to a 'Yes' outcome.
- This approach mirrors the CDS concept, as participants are essentially speculating on the 'default' (or outcome) of these other markets.
- Here are the ten open yes/no markets with the most traders.