Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 23:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 96.3%
Previsores
50
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 35 minutos
16/09/24, 20:09 UTC20/01/29, 17:00 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Donald Trump be assassinated before the end of his presidency?
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KalshiHow many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?
KalshiRegras
Resolves YES if Donald Trump dies by homicide while being president (during the term beginning 1/20/2025.)
- Resolves NO if Donald Trump finishes his time in office alive OR dies of any cause while president excluding homicide.
- Clarifications:
- If Donald Trump is replaced as president by an acting President due to incapacitation caused by an assassination attempt (25th constitutional amendment) AND later dies from injuries/complications before 1/20/2029, the market resolves YES.
- Trump’s term is considered over when his 4 year term expires, or earlier if he resigns or is removed from office.
