Conditional on a consensus 20 years from now that sperm count has been declining, what will scientists believe was the most important factor?

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Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Conditional on a consensus 20 years from now that sperm count has been declining, what will scientists believe was the most important factor??

A Manifold Markets cota Diet and obesity em 45% em 28 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Conditional on a consensus 20 years from now that sperm count has been declining, what will scientists believe was the most important factor? é resolvido?

Conditional on a consensus 20 years from now that sperm count has been declining, what will scientists believe was the most important factor? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2043.

Como Conditional on a consensus 20 years from now that sperm count has been declining, what will scientists believe was the most important factor? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Related ACX post Declining Sperm Count: Much More Than You Wanted To Know.

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KALSHI

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• Before 2027-1.0pt26%
• Before November-60.0pt7.5%

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€ 104,6 mil

Volume 24h

€ 7,4 mil

POLYMARKET

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

• No-0.1pt97%
• Yes+0.1pt3%

Volume total

€ 719,1 mil

Volume 24h

€ 5,8 mil

POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.1pt97%
• Yes-0.1pt3%

Volume total

€ 1,1 mi

Volume 24h

€ 3,5 mil

POLYMARKET

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

• ↑4.75k-0.6pt99%
• ↑5k-1.9pt97%
• ↑5.5k-0.5pt89%

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KALSHI

Pandemic in 2026?

• No95.5%
• Yes+2.0pt4.5%

Volume total

€ 910,2 mil

Volume 24h

€ 2,7 mil

POLYMARKET

Anthropic lab leak by which date?

• June 30, 2027-0.5pt7%
• December 31, 20262%

Volume total

€ 147,7 mil

Volume 24h

€ 1,7 mil

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