Carbon Brief Forecast: If Trump wins, will annual US CO2 emissions be below 4.5 billion tons in 2030?
PolíticaOne-OffClimaPolítica dos EUAEleição5a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 70%
Previsores
64
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado9/03/24, 21:51 UTC2/11/31, 06:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
If Trump wins the US 2024 election, what will the United States' total carbon footprint be in 2030?
- Carbon Brief estimates that a Trump win could add 4 billion tons of CO2 to US emissions by 2030:
- [image]I will use Our World in Data's Annual CO2 emissions dataset.
- In 2022, OWID reported a total emissions of 5.06 billion tons.
- Global Carbon Budget estimates a 3% decrease for 2023 to 4.9 billion tons, although official numbers are not yet reported.
- If Trump does not win the US 2024 elections, this market resolves N/A. Otherwise:
