Previsão da comunidade atual
Guilherme Derrite 58%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado17/02/26, 03:54 UTC4/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in São Paulo (SP)?
Manifold MarketsBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Governor of São Paulo (SP)?
Manifold MarketsBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in Minas Gerais (MG)?
Manifold MarketsSão Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketSão Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place
PolymarketSão Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors
PolymarketRegras
n Brazil’s 2026 general election (Oct 4, 2026), the state of São Paulo (SP) will elect two Senators.
- This is a MULTI market: it resolves YES for each candidate who is officially elected Senator (titular) for SP (2 winners), and NO for all others.
- Resolution is based on the official TSE final results for “Senador — SP.”
- Edge cases: if a listed candidate does not run or is not elected, they resolve NO; if results change due to court rulings, use the final TSE published outcome.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 691,8 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,1 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,6 mi
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats)?
- A Manifold Markets cota Guilherme Derrite em 58% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats) é resolvido?
- Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats) deverá ser resolvido em 4 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats) é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: n Brazil’s 2026 general election (Oct 4, 2026), the state of São Paulo (SP) will elect two Senators.