Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualEduardo Paes 72.3%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado15/04/26, 12:14 UTC4/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio Grande do Sul (RS)?
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Manifold MarketsElected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026
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PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate officially declared the winner of the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election by the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral - TSE).
- The resolution will be based on the official results published on the TSE website at https://www.tse.jus.br/.
- If a runoff election occurs, the market will resolve to the winner of that second round.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- € 697,7 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Volume total
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 471,3 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio de Janeiro (RJ)??
- A Manifold Markets cota Eduardo Paes em 72% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio de Janeiro (RJ)? é resolvido?
- Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio de Janeiro (RJ)? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio de Janeiro (RJ)? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria