Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US civilians be killed on US soil by enemy action?
One-OffPolítica dos EUAGeopolítica2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 68.1%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado11/02/25, 16:48 UTC3/02/29, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US citizens be killed by US military members on US soil?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an attack on US civilians committed primarily with drones with >9 casualties before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran strike US soil this year?
Manifold MarketsWill USDA APHIS confirm an African Swine Fever (ASF) case in any animal on US soil in 2026
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketRegras
This question is about civilian deaths due to state sponsored attacks only.
- Freelance terrorist attacks do not count unless found to have been directed and funded/equipped by a foreign government.
- The deaths need not however be directly due to conventional military operations, e.g. deaths due to covert Chinese government sabotage of US civilian infrastructure would count.
