Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029?

A Manifold Markets cota No em 87.8% em 27 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 é resolvido?

Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2029.

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 87.8%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 23 horas

Desatualizado

7/08/25, 12:07 UTC1/01/29, 23:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

This market assesses the likelihood of former President Barack Obama being arrested on or before January 1, 2029.

Recent political developments have seen accusations and calls for legal action against Obama, including claims of treason and espionage.
However, as of August 7, 2025, no formal charges or arrests have been made.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if credible reports from reputable news organizations confirm Obama's arrest by the specified date; otherwise, it will resolve to 'No'.