Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 87.8%
Previsores
22
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado7/08/25, 12:07 UTC1/01/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: Obama
PolymarketObama federally charged before 2027?
PolymarketRegras
This market assesses the likelihood of former President Barack Obama being arrested on or before January 1, 2029.
- Recent political developments have seen accusations and calls for legal action against Obama, including claims of treason and espionage.
- However, as of August 7, 2025, no formal charges or arrests have been made.
- This market will resolve to 'Yes' if credible reports from reputable news organizations confirm Obama's arrest by the specified date; otherwise, it will resolve to 'No'.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 88% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 é resolvido?
- Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market assesses the likelihood of former President Barack Obama being arrested on or before January 1, 2029.