End of 2026, will Tumbles think it was good Trump unilaterally removed Maduro?
One-OffUS PoliticsLatin America3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 70%
Previsores
28
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado3/01/26, 22:12 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump pardon Nicolás Maduro or commute his sentence in 2026?
PredictItWill former Venezuelan president Nicolaus Maduro come back to power in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill we learn by 2027 that Maduro’s ouster was an internal coup with US assistance?
Manifold MarketsWill Maduro be released before 2027?
Manifold MarketsAny Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
PolymarketMaduro Prison Time?
PolymarketRegras
Currently not sure.
- If I'm still unsure at the end of the year, I'll still make a judgment call and resolve YES or NO.
- Context and considerations:
- I'm a Canadian liberal type who hates Trump
- I'm a bit hawkish in general in regards to foreign policy
- Maduro seems like a pretty bad dude, Venezuelans as a people seem pretty happy
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 695,7 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- € 24,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 294,7 mil
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 291,3 mil
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de End of 2026, will Tumbles think it was good Trump unilaterally removed Maduro??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 70% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando End of 2026, will Tumbles think it was good Trump unilaterally removed Maduro? é resolvido?
- End of 2026, will Tumbles think it was good Trump unilaterally removed Maduro? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como End of 2026, will Tumbles think it was good Trump unilaterally removed Maduro? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Currently not sure.