Saberemos até 2027 que a derrubada de Maduro foi um golpe interno com assistência dos EUA?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolíticaLatin America3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 80.2%
Previsores
30
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado4/01/26, 11:56 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if credible evidence emerges by December 31, 2026 that Maduro's removal from power on January 3, 2026 was orchestrated as an internal coup with direct US military assistance, rather than a unilateral US military operation.
- Resolution requires documented evidence that Venezuelan military or government officials coordinated with the US to remove Maduro, or that the operation was planned and executed jointly with internal Venezuelan actors.
- Resolution sources may include: declassified government documents, congressional testimony, investigative journalism from major outlets, memoirs or statements from key Venezuelan or US officials, or court filings.
- The market creator will determine resolution based on the preponderance of available evidence.
- The question hinges on distinguishing between a unilateral US military operation and a coordinated internal coup.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Saberemos até 2027 que a derrubada de Maduro foi um golpe interno com assistência dos EUA??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Saberemos até 2027 que a derrubada de Maduro foi um golpe interno com assistência dos EUA? é resolvido?
- Saberemos até 2027 que a derrubada de Maduro foi um golpe interno com assistência dos EUA? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Saberemos até 2027 que a derrubada de Maduro foi um golpe interno com assistência dos EUA? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria