Saberemos até 2027 que a derrubada de Maduro foi um golpe interno com assistência dos EUA?
Política dos EUAOne-OffGeopolíticaAmérica Latina2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 83.7%
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32
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 45 minutos
Atrasado4/01/26, 11:56 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if credible evidence emerges by December 31, 2026 that Maduro's removal from power on January 3, 2026 was orchestrated as an internal coup with direct US military assistance, rather than a unilateral US military operation.
- Resolution requires documented evidence that Venezuelan military or government officials coordinated with the US to remove Maduro, or that the operation was planned and executed jointly with internal Venezuelan actors.
- Resolution sources may include: declassified government documents, congressional testimony, investigative journalism from major outlets, memoirs or statements from key Venezuelan or US officials, or court filings.
- The market creator will determine resolution based on the preponderance of available evidence.
- The question hinges on distinguishing between a unilateral US military operation and a coordinated internal coup.
