At any point before February 1, 2045, will there be a major third party in US politics? [read desc]
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUA18aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 64%
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado23/08/24, 19:10 UTC2/02/45, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolves YES when, at any point prior to market close, any one political party besides the Republican Party or Democratic Party simultaneously has ≥25 points from the following sources:
- State governor - worth 8 points
- US Senator - worth 8 points
- US House rep - worth 3 points
- POTUS - worth 25 points
- For example, if the Green Party held 2 US Senate seats and 3 US House seats at the same time (8 + 8 + 3 + 3 + 3 = 25), this market would resolve YES.
