Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.
Dados de resolução não verificados
Este resultado é inferido ou não é apoiado por evidência de liquidação de nível provedor.
Previsão da comunidade atual≥$0.8T 100%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
26
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 27 dias
Desatualizado22/04/26, 3:491/07/26, 3:59
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
≥$0.8T95.5%
≥$0.9T90.9%
≥$1T3.1%
≥$1.1T2.1%
≥$1.25T2.3%
≥$1.5T1.9%
≥$1.75T1.5%
≥$2T4.5%
≥$2.5T2.7%
3.1%
2.1%
2.3%
1.9%
1.5%
1%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· ≥$0.8T
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral85% de correspondência · verificado | Baixa | 100% | — | 5,7 mil € | 0 € | há 25 dias | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 100% | — | — | — | há 27 dias |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?
Fechados
+9.9pt100%
+12.6pt100%
+66.5pt100%
+9 mais resultados
18 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidez
Volume total449 mil €
Volume 24h5,7 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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Anthropic IPO by __?
16,4 mil €December 31,: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
3 mil €Before Sep 1, 2026: 5%
KALSHI
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Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-06-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-06-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).