🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopolíticaMiddle East2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 93.7%
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado25/06/25, 03:37 UTC19/01/29, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by the end of President Donald Trump's term on January 20, 2029, there is credible evidence of U.S. military personnel being deployed on Iranian soil.
- Acceptable sources for verification include official statements from the U.S. Department of Defense, reputable news organizations, or other authoritative reports confirming such deployment.
- If no such evidence is available by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No".
- Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that for a YES resolution, the U.S. military personnel must be fighting on the ground.
- Spies or CIA agents will not be counted.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 94% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term? é resolvido?
- 🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term? deverá ser resolvido em 19 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como 🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria