Abdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by which date?
38.9 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição6hManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual3-6 points behind 58.9%+38.9ptLíder entre 5 opções
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+38.9 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado2/11/26, 10:06 UTC4/11/26, 04:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
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The 2026 Michigan general election is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- Abdul El-Sayed is the Democratic nominee for United States Senate in Michigan, and Jocelyn Benson is the Democratic nominee for Governor of Michigan.
- This market will resolve based on how many percentage points Abdul El-Sayed’s vote share in the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate election falls below Jocelyn Benson’s vote share in the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
- If El-Sayed’s vote share exceeds Benson’s, this market will resolve to “the named outcome”.
- Each candidate’s vote share will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for that candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in that candidate’s respective race, including write-in votes, calculated from the certified vote totals without rounding.
- For a race that includes a runoff, ranked-choice, or other multi-round process, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing the named candidate and at least one other candidate.
