2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?
8.4 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualDemocratic Sweep 60.4%+8.4ptLíder entre 8 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+47.9 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado24/10/26, 00:51 UTC7/11/29, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will democrats win the presidency, the House and the Senate in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many House and Senate seats will Dems control after the 2026 midterms?
PredictItWill Democrats sweep the New England House and Senate races?
KalshiIf Dems win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block a working Democratic majority from being seated?
Manifold MarketsWill the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
KalshiRegras
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/power/party-power/power-28
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic party wins the House, the Democratic party wins the Senate, and the Democratic party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — 2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate? · Democratic Sweep 50%
