Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualOther 66.4%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado24/01/26, 23:33 UTC7/11/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
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KalshiRegras
This market is a derivative combining the following other markets, and resolves directly on the basis of their individual resolutions (note that even if there is a discrepancy where the resolved party nominee is replaced, I will still use these markets):
- [markets]The market will only resolve N/A if one of the underlying markets does.
- The "Other" option accounts for all combinations not currently listed.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Volume total
- € 605,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 691,8 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,1 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
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KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
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- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 2028 POTUS Party nominees and winner?
- A Manifold Markets cota Other em 66% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 2028 POTUS Party nominees and winner é resolvido?
- 2028 POTUS Party nominees and winner deverá ser resolvido em 7 de novembro de 2028.
- Como 2028 POTUS Party nominees and winner é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market is a derivative combining the following other markets, and resolves directly on the basis of their individual resolutions (note that even if there is a discrepancy where the resolved party nominee is replaced, I will still use these markets):