2026 California Insurance Commissioner election
3.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoPolítica dos EUA11d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBen Allen 66.8%-3.0ptLíder entre 7 opções
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-2.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado25/05/26, 03:42 UTC3/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially certified as the winner of the 2026 California Insurance Commissioner election by the California Secretary of State.
- The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The resolution will be based on the official final election results published by the California Secretary of State's Office.
- If the election is canceled or the office remains vacant for any reason, the market will resolve N/A. The 2026 California Insurance Commissioner election is a high-profile contest to succeed incumbent Ricardo Lara, who is term-limited and ineligible for re-election.