Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado17/10/25, 16:48 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single company publicly announces verifiable binding purchase agreements or confirmed pre-orders for 10,000 or more passenger-carrying electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing (eVTOL) aircraft by December 31, 2026, where a monetary commitment (e.g., deposit, pre-delivery payment) has been made for these units.
- The resolution will be based on official company statements, financial reports, or credible aviation news sources.
- If a company's "sales" or "order book" explicitly includes non-binding Letters of Intent (LOIs) or Memoranda of Understanding (MOUs) to reach the 10,000 threshold, these will count if they are presented by the company as part of their total units "sold" or "ordered" with an anticipated delivery timeframe that includes 2026.
- The eVTOL industry is a rapidly developing sector focused on creating electric aircraft capable of vertical take-off and landing, primarily for urban air mobility (UAM) and regional air mobility (RAM).
- Several companies are in various stages of development, certification, and pre-production, with many targeting commercial operations and initial customer deliveries around 2026.
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 802,6 mil
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- € 736,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 585,6 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 mais resultados
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 90% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027? é resolvido?
- 10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como 10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria