Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 84.3%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
3/01/26, 14:07 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
KalshiHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsHow high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
FutuurRegras
Using the closing price on Dec 31st, 2026 reported by CNBC here: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y
- If it is 4.0% or greater, this market resolves as YES
- Otherwise it resolves to NO
- [link preview]
Mercados abertos
Bonds & TreasuriesKALSHIHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 4.86% or above99%
- 4.88% or above99%
- 4.91% or above99%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 25,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 25 mil
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.32% or above99%
- 5.34% or above99%
+17 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 16,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 14,7 mil
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 4.35% or above+21.0pt99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.41% or above99%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 14,2 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+45.5pt100%
- 4.91%+64.0pt94%
- 4.94%+70.0pt93%
+6 mais resultados
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 4.69% or above99%
- 4.65% or above99%
- 4.71% or above99%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 8,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 8,5 mil
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 84% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026? é resolvido?
- 10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como 10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Using the closing price on Dec 31st, 2026 reported by CNBC here: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y