Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 90.8%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
3/01/26, 14:08 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Polymarket10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
Kalshi10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026?
Manifold Markets10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Using the closing price on Dec 31st, 2026 reported by CNBC here: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y
- If it is 3.5% or greater, this market resolves as YES
- Otherwise it resolves to NO
- [link preview]
Mercados abertos
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 282,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,2 mil
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 mais resultados
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,1 mil
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 2,3 mil
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 mais resultados
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 91% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026? é resolvido?
- 10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como 10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Using the closing price on Dec 31st, 2026 reported by CNBC here: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y