Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 70.3%
Previsores
192
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado31/12/25, 03:07 UTC2/11/26, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨
Manifold MarketsWill there be a signifikant growth of greenlands population after Trump offers money to each inhabitant?
Manifold MarketsIdaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
PolymarketWill Prince Andrew testify publicly before Congress in 2026?
PredictItWill there be mass protests on Oct 14, 2026 in the USA?
Manifold MarketsGraham Platner divorce by October 31?
PolymarketRegras
This market resolves YES if the unweighted average of the "Pro-Woke" responses to the following 5 recurring polling questions in 2026 is at least 2.0 percentage points higher than the 2025 Composite Baseline (52.6%).
- If the 2026 average is < 54.6%, the market resolves NO.
- The "Woke Vibe" Index Criteria
- The index is composed of 5 specific metrics from Gallup and PRRI.
- Each metric measures a different facet of "woke" culture (Gender, Race, Corporate/Economic Values).
- The Trans Acceptance Rebound
Mercados abertos
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 232,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 227,3 mil
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 186,1 mil
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume total
- € 66,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 28,6 mil
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 70% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨ é resolvido?
- 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨ deverá ser resolvido em 2 de novembro de 2026.
- Como 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨ é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if the unweighted average of the "Pro-Woke" responses to the following 5 recurring polling questions in 2026 is at least 2.0 percentage points higher than the 2025 Composite Baseline (52.6%).