Texas Senate Election Winner
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20266d
LimitlessVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atual
James Talarico (D) 67.5%
James Talarico (D) 67.5%Qualidade do mercado
22 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
14/10/26, 12:33 UTC4/11/26, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
James Talarico (D) · Ken Paxton (R).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders.
- In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
3 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência entre plataformas da CoinRithm para James Talarico (D) é de 68%. A dispersão entre plataformas é de cerca de 2 pontos percentuais. As plataformas não concordam sobre qual resultado está à frente.
Referencia CoinRithm James Talarico (D) 68% · 3 plataformas · 2 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Texas Senate Election Winner · James Talarico (D) 67%
- Também disponível em Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Texas Senate Race · Democrat 67%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election? · Yes 66%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Texas Senate winner? · James Talarico 65%
- Também disponível em Futuur — Texas's Senate election winner · Democratic Party 62%
