KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Ukraine / Ukrainian (99%)
Resolvido: 26 de ago. de 2026, 00:47
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
Ukraine / Ukrainian
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
—
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 26 de ago. de 2026, 00:20 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Ukraine / Ukrainian 99%Líder entre 16 opções
Qualidade do mercado
38 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
74,8 mil €
Liquidez
60,8 mil €
Alta liquidezDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado25/08/26, 19:4526/08/26, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Barron50%
Ukraine / Ukrainian34%
Alex Pretti58%
Canada79%
Iran (3+ times)79%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline42%
Lake America / Ontario80%
Trump (5+ times)75%
Measles88%
Midterm41%
AI / Artificial Intelligence18%
Tupac13%
Bessent14%
Blockade35%
Peptides / GLP-11%
Spain13%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Regras
If any host or reporter says Trump (5+ times) as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- Video of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
