South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)
5.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição12m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Darline Graham, ≥3% 53%-5.0ptLíder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
63,1 mil €
Liquidez
136,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
17/08/26, 23:1825/08/27, 14:00
Tendências
Regras
If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:South Carolina Secretary of State
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses.
- If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-3.0pt17.6%
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.6%
- Gavin Newsom-2.0pt12.8%
+44 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 165 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,1 mi
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+6.0pt82.2%
- Yes-6.0pt17.8%
- Volume total
- € 8,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham62.4%
- Ralph Norman-1.0pt29.4%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 13,2 mi
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.1pt73%
- October 31+1.5pt51%
- September 30-3.0pt30%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.4pt34.7%
- Édouard Philippe26.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt14.7%
+125 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party14.8%
- Volume total
- € 21 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 497,9 mil
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Will the SAVE Act become law?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)?
- A Kalshi cota Darline Graham, ≥3% em 53% em 25 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional) é resolvido?
- South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional) deverá ser resolvido em 25 de agosto de 2027.
- Como South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional) é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 South Carolina Senate special election runoff falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.