KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
At least 54% · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
At least 54% 95%Líder entre 8 opções
At least 54% 95%Qualidade do mercado
44 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
5 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
At least 54%Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
19/09/26, 00:00 UTC3/11/27, 14:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · At least 54%
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Linn County, Iowa is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Office of the Secretary of State, Des Moines, IA
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
Regras de cada resultado
- At least 54%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Linn County, Iowa is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Linn County, Iowa is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 56%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Linn County, Iowa is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 58%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Linn County, Iowa is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 60%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Linn County, Iowa is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 62%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Linn County, Iowa is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 64%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Linn County, Iowa is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 66%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Turek in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Linn County, Iowa is 66% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
