KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
At least 46% · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Preço registado
At least 46% 96.5%Líder entre 10 opções
At least 46% 96.5%Qualidade do mercado
35 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
356,6 €
Contratos em aberto
2,2 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
— / —
At least 46%Spread
—
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 38 minutos
19/09/26, 00:00 UTC3/11/27, 14:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · At least 46%
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Waukesha County, Wisconsin: Tom Tiffany vote percent
KalshiQueens County, New York: Kathy Hochul vote percent
KalshiHarris County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
KalshiPhiladelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
KalshiGenesee County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
KalshiDane County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percent
KalshiRegras
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Ford in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
Regras de cada resultado
- At least 46%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Ford in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 48%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Ford in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 54%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Ford in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 56%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Ford in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 60%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Ford in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 62%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Ford in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 64%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Ford in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Ford in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Ford in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 58%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Ford in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Clark County, Nevada is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
