KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
At least 17% 65%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
86,2 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
11/09/26, 20:00 UTC20/09/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by AfD in the 2026 Berlin state election is 11% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Der Landeswahlleiter für Berlin
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Berlin state election: AfD vote share??
- A Kalshi cota At least 17% em 65% em 13 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Berlin state election: AfD vote share? é resolvido?
- Berlin state election: AfD vote share? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de setembro de 2027.
- Como Berlin state election: AfD vote share? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by AfD in the 2026 Berlin state election is 11% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Berlin state election: AfD vote share? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.