KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Jess Wilson · —
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Preço registado
Jess Wilson 78.5%Líder entre 5 opções
Jess Wilson 78.5%Qualidade do mercado
45 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
68,3 €
Contratos em aberto
2,7 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
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Jess WilsonSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
1/09/26, 02:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Jess Wilson
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
If Jess Wilson is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. The qualifying person is the person serving as Premier of Victoria when the caretaker period following the 2026 Victorian state election ends. If the government changes, this is the incoming Premier sworn in by the Governor. If the incumbent government is returned, this is the Premier in office when the election result becomes clear. Service only in caretaker capacity before that point does NOT qualify. If a person not listed on this event is the first qualifying Premier, every named market resolves NO. If the caretaker period has not ended and no person has qualified before January 1, 2027, every named market resolves NO.
Regras de cada resultado
- Jess Wilson
- If Jess Wilson is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ben Carroll
- If Ben Carroll is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Danny O'Brien
- If Danny O'Brien is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ellen Sandell
- If Ellen Sandell is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Warren Pickering
- If Warren Pickering is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.