KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Trump (3+ times) 79%Líder entre 20 opções
Trump (3+ times) 79%Qualidade do mercado
43 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
1,3 mil €
Contratos em aberto
1,3 mil €
Contratos em aberto: baixoSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
1/10/26, 14:30 UTC15/10/26, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiWill JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If JD Vance says Trump (3+ times) as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Regras de cada resultado
- Trump (3+ times)
- If JD Vance says Trump (3+ times) as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Election
- If JD Vance says Election as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrat
- If JD Vance says Democrat as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- If JD Vance says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Terrorist / Terrorism
- If JD Vance says Terrorist / Terrorism as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Biden
- If JD Vance says Biden as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If JD Vance says Iran / Iranian as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Illegal Alien
- If JD Vance says Illegal Alien as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Inflation
- If JD Vance says Inflation as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Healthcare
- If JD Vance says Healthcare as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2028 / Campaign
- If JD Vance says 2028 / Campaign as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- China / Chinese
- If JD Vance says China / Chinese as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Israel / Israeli
- If JD Vance says Israel / Israeli as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If JD Vance says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- If JD Vance says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- America First
- If JD Vance says America First as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ceasefire
- If JD Vance says Ceasefire as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fraud
- If JD Vance says Fraud as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Medicare / Medicaid
- If JD Vance says Medicare / Medicaid as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.